US-Iran peace deal cools oil prices as global stocks rally on easing conflict fears

US-Iran peace deal cools oil prices as global stocks rally on easing conflict fears

Winning Bizness Desk.

Mumbai.The announcement of a peace agreement between the United States and Iran has sparked a wave of optimism across global financial markets, sending crude oil prices sharply lower and pushing equities higher worldwide. Investors welcomed signs that a prolonged conflict could be avoided, easing concerns over energy supplies and geopolitical instability. The immediate impact was visible in commodity markets, where oil prices retreated significantly after weeks of volatility driven by war-related fears.

Oil prices retreat after war concerns ease

International benchmark Brent crude fell 4.8% to $83.18 a barrel following news of the agreement. The decline marks a sharp reversal from recent highs. Brent had traded near $100 a barrel only a few weeks ago and was around $70 before tensions escalated. During the height of the Iran conflict, crude prices had surged to nearly $120 a barrel as markets feared disruptions to global energy supplies and shipping routes.

The drop in oil prices is being viewed as a major relief for economies and businesses heavily dependent on fuel.

Key market reactions:

  • Brent crude falls 4.8% to $83.18 per barrel
  • Prices had earlier climbed to nearly $120 during the conflict
  • Energy supply concerns begin to ease
  • Investors shift focus back to economic growth

Wall Street posts strong gains

The positive sentiment quickly spread to Wall Street, where major US indices advanced sharply. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by around 638 points during trading. The broader S&P 500 gained 1.5%, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.3%.

Investors interpreted the agreement as a sign of reduced geopolitical risk, helping improve confidence in equities. Lower energy costs are also expected to support corporate earnings and consumer spending in the coming months.

Airlines and AI stocks lead rally

Companies with large fuel expenses were among the biggest beneficiaries of falling oil prices. United Airlines shares jumped 5.2%, while American Airlines gained 7%. Cruise operator Carnival also rose 5.7% as investors anticipated lower operating costs.

At the same time, artificial intelligence-linked stocks staged a strong recovery after weeks of market uncertainty. Major gainers included:

  • Micron Technology up 7.8%
  • AMD rises 7%
  • Nvidia advances 2.7%
  • AI demand remains strong despite recent volatility

Nvidia, currently among Wall Street’s most valuable companies, played a significant role in lifting the S&P 500.

SpaceX valuation crosses $2.1 trillion

Investor appetite for technology and AI-related businesses remained evident as Elon Musk’s SpaceX traded 5.4% higher on its second day of trading on Nasdaq. SpaceX also owns AI company xAI, adding to investor enthusiasm around the sector.

The market has now valued SpaceX at more than $2.1 trillion, exceeding the combined market value of several corporate giants, including Exxon Mobil, Bank of America and Coca-Cola. Analysts say the performance underlines continued investor confidence in advanced technology and AI-driven businesses.

Rate expectations shift after agreement

Attention is now turning to the US Federal Reserve, which is expected to announce its latest interest-rate decision this week. President Donald Trump has repeatedly argued for lower borrowing costs and has backed Kevin Warsh for the Fed leadership role.

Before the US-Iran agreement, traders believed strong employment data and persistent inflation could force the Fed toward tighter monetary policy. However, sentiment has shifted considerably. According to CME Group data, the probability of a rate increase this year has fallen from 71% to 55% after the deal. Markets increasingly expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged.

Asian and Indian markets join global rally

The positive momentum was also reflected across Asia and India. The Sensex closed 736 points higher at 76,264, while the Nifty gained 231 points to end at 23,853.

Asian indices also recorded strong gains:

  • Kospi (South Korea): Up 5.20%
  • Nikkei (Japan): Up 4.99%
  • Hang Seng (Hong Kong): Up 0.50%

Iran has confirmed the agreement but said it will only take effect after formal signing. According to Pakistan, the signing ceremony is expected to take place in Switzerland on Friday. Discussions on critical issues, including Iran’s nuclear programme, are likely to continue for another 60 days. Experts caution that while the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could improve energy flows, it may still take months for the global energy industry to return to normal operating levels.